DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • Thanksgiving week may be specific to the US (and Japan), but the market implications are historically global • A seasonal liquidity drain will exacerbate structural complacency that will require a very clear trading approach adjustment • Short-term setups with clear technicals and event risk (like GBP/USD) are preferable, but be wary of surprises Retail traders are more focuse...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • The S&P 500-led reversal through the middle of this past week balanced out before liquidity drained for the weekend • Practical trading is shorter duration and more proximate objectives, while good investing is cutting excessive risk to reset later • Can the flush of volatility in the Aussie and Kiwi Dollar tumble, Yen cross drop, Crude oil rally and Bitcoin charge last ahead? ...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • Much of the Dollar's moves over the past months has been based on the Fed's monetary policy standings relative to its peers • Another short-term driver that has eased back in influence is a more complex relationship through the currency's 'risk' standings • Perhaps the most long-lasting, systemic and overlooked consideration for the Greenback is the risk of further credit downg...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • From the verge of clear head-and-shoulders pattern breakdowns, US equities forged dramatic recovery rallies this past session • Top headline this past session was US tax policy passing through the House, but the impact wasn't registered in the Dollar • Carry trades and Yen crosses have deviated from broad risk trends, while Ripple has seen headlines to out quaffed Bitcoin We a...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • - We started off by looking at the U.S. Dollar, which has pulled back towards the subordinated support zone that we were looking at on Tuesday. The big question now is whether bulls will be able to continue the movement above that prior area of support around 94.08-94.30, as current resistance is showing around the flat level of 94.00. - The big point of focus for today was EUR/USD, as there ar...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • - The DXY Index found support yesterday near the October 26 bullish outside engulfing bar low, suggesting that a new range between 93.48 and 94.29 is forming. - Likewise, a further bullish EUR/USD bias would require a weekly close above 1.1838, the bearish engulfing bar high from the October 26 ECB meeting. #forexnews @CVecchioFX @DailyFX @DailyFXTeam

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • The S&P 500 has led other US equity indexes in forging clear head-and-shoulders patterns • In such technical patterns, the shift in momentum is important; but critical is the opportunity of a strong trend to reverse • A breakdown from US equities could prove a stronger signal of true risk aversion than most other development given its persistence Retail traders often chase the...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • Other risk benchmarks (junk bonds, global indexes) were already sliding; but the holdouts in the S&P 500 and VIX joined in Wednesday • Full scale risk aversion carries deep implications for the the markets so conviction on intent should not be set easily • The Dollar is pulled between carry and haven, Pound between Brexit and BoE, Bitcoin between legitimacy and volatility We a...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • Risk-oriented assets have eased over the past week, and the S&P 500 has felt enough pressure to complete a head-and-shoulders • Meanwhile, the Dollar's break on its own inverse head-and-shoulders pattern two weeks ago has fallen apart with a drop below 94 • The heads of the world's largest central banks committed to forward guidance in an era when monetary policy is reversing ...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • - The first market that we looked at was the U.S. Dollar as ‘DXY’. The Dollar is turning-over today, falling below a zone of prior resistance as the previous bullish move digests further. This raises questions around the potential for bullish continuation as we move towards the December FOMC rate decision, and in the effort of plotting that course, we drew a Fibonacci retracement around the recent...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • Monetary policy remains one of the most active relative FX drivers, but it also carries significant collective influence in markets • Amid various central banks speeches and inflation reports, the Panel attended by Yellen, Draghi, Carney and Kuroda is top event risk • There is a bubble in speculative exposure fostered by accommodative monetary policy which poses a clear risk to ...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • Risk trends opened to a measureable sense of caution this week with varying degree of retreat from the SPX, DAX and Nikkei 225 • A week of monetary policy headlines has the majors and pairs like EUR/USD on hold despite the proximity of critical technicals • Top event risk ahead goes to the panel that Yellen, Draghi, Carney and Kuroda are set to speak at - could it even charge '...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • Risk appetite suffered a set back this past week, and the level of skepticism built into the market doesn't allow for much • Monetary policy will be a central theme through the coming week with an inordinate amount of central bank speak and key data • The Dollar remains a particularly at-risk currency for volatility with critical unfulfilled technicals, Yellen and CPI holding ...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • DailyFX Senior Currency Strategist Christopher Vecchio, CFA discusses the major central banks' monetary policies and their implications for FX markets over the next week. The past few weeks have been busy for central banks, with the ECB having met two weeks ago, the BOE and the Fed last week, and the RBA, RBNZ, and Banxico meeting this one. The resulting impacts on FX markets have been significa...

DailyFX.com
DailyFX.com
YouTube Video
  • Talking Points: • There are many cognitive biases that can influence how we percieve and interact with markets • For many that are unfamiliar with markets and trading, the concept that something that depreciates can add profit does not compute • Justifications made for continuation or reversal on a 'clear' trend like the S&P 500's often evaporate when you flip the chart Interested in learning m...

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